Indian government bond yields were marginally lower on Wednesday, tracking US peers after benign producer price data, with the focus shifting to US inflation data due later in the day.
The benchmark 10-year yield was at 6.8697 per cent as of 10:05 a.m. IST, compared to its previous close of 6.8786 per cent.
Indian financial markets will be closed on Thursday for Independence Day.
US bond yields eased on Tuesday after the July Producer Price Index rose a less-than-expected 0.1 per cent, after rising 0.2 per cent in June, as cheaper services tempered the rise in the cost of goods.
Slowing inflation and a cooling labour market have led financial markets to anticipate that the Federal Reserve will start its easing cycle in September.
Futures markets reflect odds of about 54 per cent that the Fed will cut 50 basis points (bps) against 46 per cent for a 25 bps cut. Traders are pricing in a full percentage point of easing by the year-end.
India’s retail inflation eased in July due to vegetable inflation falling and a high base effect. The annual retail inflation was 3.54 per cent in July, the lowest since August 2019, and down from 5.08 per cent in June.
“Given that the 4 per cent inflation target is still missed on a durable basis, we do not think that this sub-4 per cent print would have any impact on the reaction function of the Reserve Bank of India,” said Indranil Pan, chief economist at Yes Bank.
The central bank will remain focused on the domestic growth-inflation mix and a long patient hold on the repo rate is the most likely outcome from RBI, Pan added.
(Only the headline and picture of this report may have been reworked by the Business Standard staff; the rest of the content is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)
First Published: Aug 14 2024 | 10:59 AM IST